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The Visiting Astros with Top Predicted Hitter Yordan Alvarez Expected Winner Over the Orioles

Fri, Aug 9, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Wade Miley
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

August 9, 2019 -- The Astros with a 82.03% forecasted chance to beat the Orioles on the road based on the Snoozle model.

Likely visiting starter Wade Miley will will duel it out with the Orioles probable starter Dylan Bundy. The Snoozle model estimates the Astros pitcher will have an outing for 7.121 innings, allowing 1.700 earned runs, with 2.081 walk. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Dylan Bundy will have 3.540 earned runs, a predicted 19.776 outs, and 5.578 strike outs.

In a hitting matchup, Yordan Alvarez of the Astros will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter Trey Mancini. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Yordan Alvarez is predicted to bat for 0.340 with 1.169 RBIs and 0.956 runs scored. The Orioles's Trey Mancini is estimated to score 0.499 runs, 0.487 RBIs and have a 0.296 OBP.

According to the -250 ML away odds and an predicted 82.03% chance to win, the Astros are the best value for the money line. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 10.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Fri, August 9, 2019 13:06:57 UTC