The Visiting Astros with Top Predicted Hitter Yordan Alvarez Expected Winner Over the Brewers

Tue, Sep 3, 2019 | Emma Botos


Zack Greinke
jnashboulden on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

September 3, 2019 -- On the road, the Astros take the Brewers for a 50.04% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle MLB model.

On the mound for the Astros will be Zack Greinke matched up against Jordan Lyles. The Astros's Zack Greinke is predicted to throw for 6.569 innings, allowing 2.120 earned runs, with 6.082 Ks. Our model forecasts the Brewers pitcher will have an outing for 6.828 innings, allowing 2.157 earned runs, with a 2.727 walks.

Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Yordan Alvarez and Mike Moustakas from Astros and Brewers, respectively. According to our game model, Yordan Alvarez is estimated to have 0.718 RBIs and score 0.571 run over an estimated 3.867 at-bats. The Brewers's Mike Moustakas 3B is estimated to score 0.598 runs, 0.722 RBIs and have a 0.319 OBP.

For this matchup Brewers are the best value on the money line bets with on the +145 home ML odds and a forecasted 49.96% chance to win. With a predicted 60.51% likelihood and -120 odds at 9.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, September 3, 2019 13:03:16 UTC