The Visiting Astros with Top Predicted Hitter Yordan Alvarez Expected Winner Over the Blue Jays

Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Emma Botos


Wade Miley
Keith Allison on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License

August 30, 2019 -- On the road, the Astros take the Blue Jays for a 77.92% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle MLB model.

The Astros have Wade Miley as the probable starting pitcher against Trent Thornton. The Snoozle model estimates the Astros pitcher will have an outing for 7.002 innings, allowing 1.948 earned runs, with 2.422 walks. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Trent Thornton will have 3.872 earned runs, a predicted 19.374 outs, and 5.444 strike outs.

Yordan Alvarez, Astros's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Bo Bichette in today's game. The Astros's Yordan Alvarez from the plate is forecast to score 1.009 runs, 1.280 RBIs and have a 0.439 OBP. The Blue Jays's Bo Bichette is estimated to score 0.708 runs, 0.621 RBIs and have a 0.357 OBP.

The Astros are the best value for the money line based on the -200 odds and a forecasted 77.92% win estimate. Based on the prediction model's over 61.01% likelihood and +100 odds, the over line with 10.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:03:49 UTC