The Visiting Tigers with Likely Starting Pitcher Matt Boyd Predicted Winner Over the Odds-on White Sox

Sat, Sep 28, 2019 | Emma Botos


Christin Stewart with the Mat-Su Miners in 2013
Jesse Jack on Flickr License

September 28, 2019 -- On the road, the Tigers take the White Sox for a 50.36% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle MLB model.

On the mound for the Tigers will be Matt Boyd matched up against Reynaldo Lopez. The Tigers starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 22.245 outs, allow 2.192 earned runs, and a 0.021 probability of a complete game. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Reynaldo Lopez will have 2.465 earned runs, a predicted 21.829 outs, and 8.242 strike outs.

Sluggers Christin Stewart from the Tigers and Eloy Jimenez from the White Sox will lead the their teams from the batter's box. According to our game model, Christin Stewart is estimated to have 0.510 RBIs and score 0.478 runs over an estimated 4.127 at-bats. The White Sox's Eloy Jimenez is estimated to score 0.533 runs, 0.647 RBIs and have a 0.289 OBP.

With +128 money line odds and a estimated 50.36% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Tigers over the White Sox. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 56.55% over estimate and +117 line odds for 8.5 runs.

Posted at Sat, September 28, 2019 13:05:13 UTC