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The Visiting Mariners with Likely Starting Pitcher Marco Gonzales Predicted Winner Over the Odds-on Pirates
Tue, Sep 17, 2019 | Emma Botos
Seattle Mariners pitcher Marco Gonzales throwing against the Houston Astros on August 22, 2018.
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September 17, 2019 -- The visiting Mariners has an estimated 74.21% chance to overcome the Pirates based on our model.
This game is a match up between the Mariners's Marco Gonzales and the Pirates's Mitch Keller. Marco Gonzales is estimated to have 2.882 earned runs, 21.000 outs, and 5.440 strike outs. The Pirates starting hurler is predicted to throw for 18.863 outs, allow 4.269 earned runs, and a 0.000 probability of a complete game.
The Mariners's Kyle Seager and the Pirates's Bryan Reynolds will slug it out from the plate. Kyle Seager 3B is forecast to bring in 1.141 RBIs and 1.047 runs scored, with an 0.405 OBP and 1.104 Ks. The Pirates's Bryan Reynolds is estimated to score 0.709 runs, 0.622 RBIs and have a 0.396 OBP.
For this game the Mariners are the best value on the money line bets with on the +123 away odds and a predicted 74.21% likelihood to win. Based on the prediction model's over 74.64% likelihood and +110 odds, the over line with 9.5 runs is the best value.
Posted at Tue, September 17, 2019 13:05:02 UTC