The Visiting Lions Predicted Winner Over the Odds-on Packers

Thu, Oct 10, 2019 | Rob Otto

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2019-10-15 -- On the road, the Lions take the Packers for a 47.7% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

The Lions are predicted to score 17.2 points against their opponent. Our model forecasts Lions will pass for 1.1 touchdown and 1.9 interceptions against the Packers defense on a forecasted 19.1 competitions with 37.7 attempts for 233.5 yards. The model predicts the Lions will rush on 28.2 attempts against the Packers with an estimated total of 157.7 yards and 0.8 running touchdowns.

The Packers are estimated to score 18.1 points at home. The Packers are estimated from the model to throw for 224.9 yards on 38.2 attempts for 18.8 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.2 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Packers will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Lions defense on 27.6 attempts for a projected 128.2 yards.

The Lions are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 60.0% likelihood estimate to cover a +4.5 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 60.9% over estimate and -110 line odds for 47.0 runs.

Posted at Thu, October 10, 2019 13:05:16 UTC