The Visiting Diamondbacks with Likely Starting Pitcher Mike Leake Predicted Winner Over the Odds-on Reds

Sun, Sep 8, 2019 | Emma Botos


Mike Leake
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 8, 2019 -- In a probable pitching match up between Mike Leake and Anthony DeSclafani, the Diamondbacks has an predicted 55.18% chance for a road over the Reds.

This game is a match up between the Diamondbacks's Mike Leake and the Reds's Anthony DeSclafani. The Diamondbacks starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.837 outs, allow 2.404 earned runs, and a 0.014 probability of a complete game. Our model forecasts the Reds pitcher will have an outing for 6.529 innings, allowing 2.757 earned runs, with a 2.757 walks.

Ketel Marte, Diamondbacks's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Aristides Aquino in today's game. Ketel Marte is forecast to bring in 0.719 RBIs and 0.761 run scored, with an 0.376 OBP and 0.653 Ks. Based on the Snoozle model, Aristides Aquino is predicted to have 0.962 RBIs and score 0.728 runs over an estimated 4.161 at-bats.

For this game the Diamondbacks are the best value on the money line bets with on the +115 away odds and a predicted 55.18% likelihood to win. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 9.5 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Sun, September 8, 2019 13:05:29 UTC