The Visiting Bengals Predicted Winner Over the Odds-on Dolphins

Thu, Dec 3, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-12-06 -- The Bengals with a 64.5% forecasted chance to beat the Dolphins on the road based on the Snoozle football model.

The Snoozle model forecast the Bengals to score 22.1 points on the road. Our model forecasts Bengals will pass for 1.6 touchdowns and 2.0 interceptions against the Dolphins defense on a forecasted 25.5 competitions with 42.5 attempts for 275.4 yards. Our model forecasts the Bengals will rush for 0.9 touchdowns against the Dolphins defense on 29.4 attempts for a projected 150.3 yards.

The Dolphins have an average of 14.5 points in our model for the game. The Dolphins are estimated from the model to throw for 216.0 yards on 39.0 attempts for 20.7 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.9 touchdowns and 2.0 interceptions. The model estimates the Dolphins will run on 24.6 attempts against the Bengals with an estimated total of 129.9 yards and 0.6 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 87.4% probability to cover a +11.5 spread, the Bengals are the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 42.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 62.8% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, December 3, 2020 13:04:11 UTC