The Underdog Vikings with a Predicted Win Over the Texans

Sat, Oct 3, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-10-04 -- On the road, the Vikings take the Texans for a 71.9% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

The Snoozle model forecast the Vikings to score 25.8 points on the road. Our model forecasts Vikings will pass for 2.0 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions against the Texans defense on a forecasted 25.2 competitions with 38.2 attempts for 301.5 yards. The Vikings are estimated from the model to rush for 1.1 touchdown against Texans with 33.2 rush attempts for 182.4 yards.

The Texans are predicted to score 14.7 points on the home turf against Vikings. The Snoozle football model estimates the Texans will throw 17.5 competitions on 29.9 attempts against the Vikings with an estimated 1.9 interceptions for a total of 180.1 yards and 0.8 passing touchdowns. The Texans are predicted from the model to run for 0.6 touchdowns against Vikings with 29.3 rush attempts for 128.8 yards.

Based on a predicted 79.6% probability to cover a +4.0 spread, the Vikings are the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 54.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 64.3% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Sat, October 3, 2020 13:08:09 UTC