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The Underdog Twins Led By Pitcher Martin Perez Predicted at Home to Beat the Braves
Wed, Aug 7, 2019 | Emma Botos
Max Fried and Bryse Wilson of the Atlanta Braves before a game at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia in 2019
Ian D'Andrea on Flickr License
August 7, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle Sports MLB prediction model, the Twins have a 53.20% winning against the Braves in a projected matchup between pitchers Martin Perez and Max Fried.
On the mound for the Twins will be Martin Perez paired against Max Fried. Martin Perez is estimated from the model to throw for 6.149 innings, allowing 3.334 earned runs, with 6.373 Ks. The Snoozle model estimates the Braves pitcher will have an outing for 6.202 innings, allowing 3.276 earned runs, with 2.973 walks.
In a hitting matchup, Nelson Cruz of the Twins will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Freddie Freeman. The Twins's Nelson Cruz RF is estimated to score 0.929 runs, 0.990 RBIs and have a 0.392 OBP. Freddie Freeman 1B is forecast to bring in 0.831 RBIs and 0.820 runs scored, with an 0.400 OBP and 0.958 Ks.
For this matchup Twins are the best value on the money line bets with on the +105 home ML odds and a forecasted 53.20% chance to win. According to prediction model the 70.33% over estimate and -120 line odds for 10.5 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Wed, August 7, 2019 13:04:18 UTC