The Underdog Twins Led By Pitcher Devin Smeltzer Predicted at Home to Beat the Indians

Fri, Aug 9, 2019 | Emma Botos

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Cleveland Indians pitcher Shane Bieber warms up in the bullpen at Progressive Field in 2018
Erik Drost on Flickr License

August 9, 2019 -- The Twins have a 60.12% chance of winning at home against the Indians according to the Snoozle Sports MLB model.

Probable starting pitchers Devin Smeltzer and Shane Bieber duel it out for the Twins and Indians, respectively. Our model forecasts the Twins pitcher will have an outing for 7.066 innings, allowing 1.834 earned runs, with a 2.275 walks. The Indians's Shane Bieber is predicted to throw for 6.921 innings, allowing 2.026 earned runs, with 6.419 Ks.

In a hitting matchup, Nelson Cruz of the Twins will see who has the better stick against the visiting slugger Francisco Lindor. The Twins's Nelson Cruz RF is estimated to score 0.627 runs, 0.686 RBIs and have a 0.332 OBP. The Indians's Francisco Lindor from the plate is forecast to score 0.525 runs, 0.455 RBIs and have a 0.302 OBP.

With +125 money line odds and a forecasted 60.12% likelihood to win, the best value is on the Twins over the Indians. With a predicted 68.43% likelihood and -115 odds at 9.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Fri, August 9, 2019 13:06:57 UTC