The Underdog Steelers with a Predicted Win Over the Browns

Fri, Jan 1, 2021 | Rob Otto


2021-01-03 -- According to our model, the Steelers predicted to over perform on the road against the Browns with a 59.7% chance to win.

The Snoozle model forecast the Steelers to score 17.2 points on the road. The Steelers are forecast to pass for 1.2 touchdowns on 42.4 pass attempts with 24.7 competitions for 263.1 yards, and a predicted 0.2 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Steelers will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Browns defense on 23.6 attempts for a projected 95.6 yards.

In their hometown, the Browns are forecast to score 13.2 points. The Browns are expected to throw for 0.7 touchdowns with 34.5 pass attempts with 19.8 competitions for 176.4 yards, and an estimated 0.2 interceptions. The Browns are forecast to rush for 131.1 yards on 29.2 attempts with an estimated 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 82.9% probability to cover a +9.0 spread, the Steelers are the best value for the ATS bets. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 57.6% over estimate and -110 line odds for 42.5 runs.

Posted at Fri, January 1, 2021 13:05:18 UTC