The Underdog Packers with a Predicted Win Over the Vikings

Thu, Dec 19, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-24 -- The visiting Packers has an estimated 55.4% chance to overcome the Vikings based on our football model.

The Snoozle model forecast the Packers to score 18.5 points on the road. The Packers are forecast to pass for 1.4 touchdowns on 39.6 pass attempts with 22.5 competitions for 254.1 yards, and a predicted 1.6 interceptions. The model predicts the Packers will rush on 27.0 attempts against the Vikings with an estimated total of 135.8 yards and 0.6 running touchdowns.

At home, the Vikings are forecast to score 15.3 points. The Vikings are estimated from the model to throw for 229.2 yards on 36.6 attempts for 22.2 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdown and 1.9 interceptions. The Vikings are forecast to rush for 120.1 yards on 28.8 attempts with an estimated 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 68.9% probability to cover a +4.5 spread, the Packers are the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 46.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 59.0% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Thu, December 19, 2019 13:03:38 UTC