The Underdog Chiefs Predicted at Home to Beat the Chargers

Fri, Jan 1, 2021 | Rob Otto


2021-01-03 -- The Chiefs have a 65.4% chance of winning at home against the Chargers according to the Snoozle Sports football montecarlo model.

The Chiefs are estimated to score 26.5 points at home. Our model forecasts the Chiefs will pass for 2.0 touchdowns and 0.1 interception against the Chargers defense on a projected 30.7 competitions with 46.5 attempts for 318.8 passing yards. Our model forecasts the Chiefs will rush for 1.1 touchdown against the Chargers defense on 28.0 attempts for a projected 185.1 yards.

The Chargers are estimated to score 17.9 points on the road. The Chargers are forecast to pass for 1.3 touchdowns on 37.3 pass attempts with 22.1 competitions for 231.6 yards, and a predicted 0.1 interception. The Chargers are estimated from the model to rush for 0.6 touchdowns against Chiefs with 23.9 rush attempts for 116.7 yards.

According to the odds and a forecasted 71.5% chance to beat the +3.5 point spread, the Chiefs are the best value. With an over/under of 44.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 76.7% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Fri, January 1, 2021 13:05:18 UTC