The Underdog Browns with a Predicted Win Over the Ravens

Mon, Sep 7, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-09-13 -- According to our model, the Browns predicted to over perform on the road against the Ravens with a 57.0% chance to win.

The Snoozle model forecast the Browns to score 22.2 points on the road. The Browns are forecast to pass for 1.4 touchdowns on 41.1 pass attempts with 22.0 competitions for 239.5 yards, and a predicted 1.5 interceptions. The model predicts the Browns will rush on 26.3 attempts against the Ravens with an estimated total of 165.2 yards and 1.0 running touchdowns.

At home, the Ravens are forecast to score 18.3 points. The Ravens are estimated from the model to throw for 194.6 yards on 33.2 attempts for 18.5 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.0 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Ravens will rush for 1.1 touchdown against the Browns defense on 29.1 attempts for a projected 202.7 yards.

The Browns are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 73.8% likelihood estimate to cover a +8.5 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 52.9% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 48.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Mon, September 7, 2020 11:09:04 MST