The Underdog Bengals with a Predicted Win Over the Browns

Thu, Dec 5, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-08 -- According to our model, the Bengals predicted to over perform on the road against the Browns with a 58.0% chance to win.

On the road, the Bengals are forecast to score 23.1 points against Browns. The Bengals are forecast to pass for 1.5 touchdowns on 39.7 pass attempts with 20.2 competitions for 247.7 yards, and a predicted 2.1 interception. Our model forecasts the Bengals will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the Browns defense on 31.6 attempts for a projected 161.7 yards.

The Browns are estimated to score 17.9 points at home. Our model forecasts the Browns will pass for 1.2 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions against the Bengals defense on a projected 21.6 competitions with 43.2 attempts for 239.0 passing yards. Our model forecasts the Browns will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Bengals defense on 24.8 attempts for a projected 139.8 yards.

The Bengals are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 76.7% likelihood estimate to cover a +8.5 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 76.4% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 40.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Thu, December 5, 2019 13:02:15 UTC