The Underdog Bengals Predicted at Home to Beat the Ravens

Fri, Jan 1, 2021 | Rob Otto


2021-01-03 -- The Bengals have a 52.5% chance of winning at home against the Ravens according to the Snoozle Sports football montecarlo model.

The Bengals are estimated to score 19.9 points at home. The Bengals are estimated from the model to throw for 217.7 yards on 39.1 attempts for 23.4 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.2 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Bengals will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the Ravens defense on 29.6 attempts for a projected 170.8 yards.

The Ravens are estimated to score 17.3 points on the road. The Ravens are forecast to pass for 1.1 touchdown on 37.4 pass attempts with 20.2 competitions for 216.5 yards, and a predicted 1.9 interceptions. The model predicts the Ravens will rush on 28.6 attempts against the Bengals with an estimated total of 163.1 yards and 0.8 running touchdowns.

With an estimated 79.9% likelihood to pass a +12.0 spread, the best value is on the Bengals over the Ravens against the spread. With an over/under of 44.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 56.1% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Fri, January 1, 2021 13:05:18 UTC