The Patriots's Defense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Home Underdog Jets

Thu, Oct 17, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-10-22 -- The Patriots predicted with a 64.1% chance to chalk up a road loss against the Jets based on the Snoozle Sports model

The Snoozle model forecast the Patriots to score 13.5 points on the road. The Patriots are predicted from the model to throw for 240.1 yards on 39.2 attempts for 21.8 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.1 touchdown and 0.5 interceptions. The Patriots are predicted to run for 25.9 yards on 18.8 attempts with an estimated 0.2 touchdowns.

In their hometown, the Jets are forecast to score 20.2 points. The Jets are estimated from the model to throw for 302.6 yards on 48.9 attempts for 30.7 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.5 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions. The Jets are predicted from the model to run for 0.7 touchdowns against Patriots with 28.5 rush attempts for 141.4 yards.

With an estimated 82.9% likelihood to pass a +10.0 spread, the best value is on the Jets over the Patriots against the spread. Based on the prediction model's over 52.4% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 42.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Thu, October 17, 2019 13:06:18 UTC