The Home Vanderbilt's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Kentucky

Tue, Nov 12, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-16 -- Vanderbilt under perform at home with a 88.0% chance to lose against Kentucky based on our football model.

Vanderbilt has an average of 9.6 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates Vanderbilt will throw 15.2 competitions on 29.1 attempts against Kentucky with an estimated 0.9 interceptions for a total of 131.8 yards and 0.5 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts Vanderbilt will rush for 0.5 touchdowns against the Kentucky defense on 24.6 attempts for a projected 134.0 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, Kentucky has an average of 28.1 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Kentucky will throw 15.6 competitions on 29.4 attempts against Vanderbilt with a forecasted 0.6 interceptions for a total of 185.3 yards and 1.2 touchdowns. The model predicts Kentucky will rush on 53.0 attempts against Vanderbilt with an estimated total of 336.7 yards and 2.0 running touchdowns.

An estimated 73.8% likelihood to beat a -8.5 point spread, the best value is on Kentucky in their matchup against Vanderbilt. According to prediction model the 63.1% over estimate and -110 line odds for 43.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 12, 2019 13:00:40 UTC