The Home UMass's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over UConn

Tue, Oct 22, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-26 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, UMass has a 86.7% take a home loss against UConn.

At home, UMass is forecast to score 16.0 points. Our model forecasts UMass will pass for 0.9 touchdowns and 1.5 interceptions against the UConn defense on a projected 18.8 competitions with 30.7 attempts for 179.7 passing yards. UMass is forecast to rush for 163.7 yards on 30.9 attempts with an estimated 0.8 rushing touchdowns.

UConn is estimated to score 41.2 points on the road. Our model forecasts UConn will pass for 3.1 touchdown and 0.7 interceptions against the UMass defense on a forecasted 30.8 competitions with 44.5 attempts for 365.1 yards. UConn is estimated from the model to rush for 2.0 touchdowns against UMass with 43.3 rush attempts for 242.8 yards.

For this game, UConn is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 86.7% probability to beat the -9.5 point spread. According to prediction model the 61.1% over estimate and -110 line odds for 62.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 22, 2019 13:01:05 UTC