The Home UMass's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Akron

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-28 -- UMass change of losing to Akron is 76.5% based on our model.

UMass has an average of 18.5 points in our model for the game. UMass is expected to throw for 1.0 touchdowns with 32.0 pass attempts with 17.6 competitions for 190.7 yards, and an estimated 1.2 interceptions. Our model forecasts UMass will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Akron defense on 32.9 attempts for a projected 136.1 yards.

Akron is predicted to score 31.7 points against their opponent. Akron is forecast to pass for 3.0 touchdowns on 51.9 pass attempts with 36.0 competitions for 464.7 yards, and a predicted 1.9 interceptions. The model predicts Akron will rush on 33.1 attempts against UMass with an estimated total of 138.1 yards and 0.8 running touchdowns.

An estimated 65.3% likelihood to beat a -6.5 point spread, the best value is on Akron in their matchup against UMass. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 64.2% over estimate and -110 line odds for 64.0 runs.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC