The Home UConn's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Houston

Tue, Oct 15, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-19 -- UConn has a 51.2% likelihood to fall to Houston with a based on our model.

UConn is estimated to score 31.3 points at home. Our model forecasts UConn will pass for 2.2 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions against the Houston defense on a projected 23.5 competitions with 38.7 attempts for 325.6 passing yards. UConn is predicted from the model to run for 1.6 touchdowns against Houston with 40.5 rush attempts for 234.6 yards.

Houston is estimated to score 32.7 points on the road. Houston is predicted from the model to throw for 226.7 yards on 33.8 attempts for 20.4 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.7 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions. The model predicts Houston will rush on 42.0 attempts against UConn with an estimated total of 326.9 yards and 2.2 running touchdowns.

With an estimated 80.0% likelihood to pass a +22.0 spread, the best value is on UConn over Houston against the spread. With an over/under of 59.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 82.3% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Tue, October 15, 2019 17:03:34 UTC