The Home Tulane's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over UCF

Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-23 -- Tulane under perform at home with a 70.9% chance to lose against UCF based on our football model.

Tulane is predicted to score 24.1 points on the home turf against UCF. Tulane is estimated from the model to throw for 198.5 yards on 30.5 attempts for 16.3 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.0 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions. Tulane is predicted from the model to run for 1.6 touchdowns against UCF with 53.9 rush attempts for 294.4 yards.

UCF is predicted to score 35.9 points against their opponent. UCF is forecast to pass for 2.4 touchdowns on 42.0 pass attempts with 22.1 competitions for 352.8 yards, and a predicted 0.8 interceptions. UCF is estimated from the model to rush for 1.7 touchdowns against Tulane with 48.9 rush attempts for 276.3 yards.

An estimated 61.8% likelihood to beat a -6.0 point spread, the best value is on UCF in their matchup against Tulane. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 69.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.

Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC