The Home Texas Tech's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Oklahoma

Fri, Oct 30, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-30 -- Texas Tech under perform at home with a 99.9% chance to lose against Oklahoma based on our football model.

At home, Texas Tech is forecast to score 6.6 points. Texas Tech is expected to throw for 0.2 touchdowns with 23.9 pass attempts with 4.1 competitions for 54.7 yards, and an estimated 2.6 interceptions. Texas Tech is predicted from the model to run for 0.3 touchdowns against Oklahoma with 23.7 rush attempts for 119.3 yards.

On the road, Oklahoma is forecast to score 56.0 points against Texas Tech. Our model forecasts Oklahoma will pass for 5.2 touchdowns and 1.3 interceptions against the Texas Tech defense on a forecasted 48.5 competitions with 55.8 attempts for 689.1 yards. Our model forecasts Oklahoma will rush for 2.0 touchdowns against the Texas Tech defense on 55.6 attempts for a projected 274.7 yards.

Oklahoma is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 97.6% likelihood estimate to cover a -14.5 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 59.5% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 68.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Fri, October 30, 2020 13:00:39 UTC