The Home Texans's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Underdog Jaguars

Wed, Sep 11, 2019 | Rob Otto

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2019-09-15 -- The Texans under perform at home with a 88.5% chance to lose against the Jaguars based on our football model.

At home, the Texans are forecast to score 12.8 points. The Texans are expected to throw for 0.2 touchdowns with 29.7 pass attempts with 14.0 competitions for 65.0 yards, and an estimated 2.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Texans will rush for 1.1 touchdown against the Jaguars defense on 24.3 attempts for a projected 263.6 yards.

The Jaguars are predicted to score 34.5 points against their opponent. The Jaguars are forecast to pass for 3.4 touchdowns on 51.4 pass attempts with 36.3 competitions for 462.1 yards, and a predicted 1.0 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Jaguars will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the Texans defense on 27.7 attempts for a projected 167.7 yards.

An estimated 96.9% likelihood to beat a +8.5 point spread, the best value is on the Jaguars in their matchup against the Texans. With an over/under of 44.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 82.2% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Wed, September 11, 2019 21:04:32 MST