The Home Tennessee's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over South Carolina

Tue, Oct 22, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-26 -- Tennessee under perform at home with a 53.7% chance to lose against South Carolina based on our football model.

Tennessee is estimated to score 19.3 points at home. Our model forecasts Tennessee will pass for 1.2 touchdowns and 1.5 interceptions against the South Carolina defense on a projected 18.9 competitions with 34.2 attempts for 233.5 passing yards. The model estimates Tennessee will run on 42.0 attempts against South Carolina with an estimated total of 197.2 yards and 0.9 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, South Carolina has an average of 21.4 points for the game. South Carolina is forecast to pass for 1.1 touchdown on 40.2 pass attempts with 23.7 competitions for 227.4 yards, and a predicted 1.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts South Carolina will rush for 1.1 touchdown against the Tennessee defense on 37.1 attempts for a projected 205.0 yards.

Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for South Carolina (-3.5) at Tennessee game. Based on the prediction model's over 53.6% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 48.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 22, 2019 13:01:05 UTC