The Home Saints's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Underdog 49ers

Sat, Nov 14, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-11-15 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Saints have a 70.8% take a home loss against the 49ers.

The Saints have an average of 14.3 points in our model for the game. The Saints are estimated from the model to throw for 231.2 yards on 38.6 attempts for 25.4 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.0 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions. The model estimates the Saints will run on 25.0 attempts against the 49ers with an estimated total of 103.4 yards and 0.4 rushing touchdowns.

The Snoozle model forecast the 49ers to score 24.3 points on the road. The 49ers are predicted from the model to throw for 300.1 yards on 43.2 attempts for 27.6 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.8 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions. The 49ers are predicted to run for 126.9 yards on 29.5 attempts with an estimated 0.8 touchdowns.

An estimated 86.5% likelihood to beat a +9.5 point spread, the best value is on the 49ers in their matchup against the Saints. With a predicted 53.6% likelihood and -110 odds at 49.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Sat, November 14, 2020 13:04:15 UTC