The Home Purdue's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Nebraska

Tue, Oct 29, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-02 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, Purdue is predicted with a 64.0% to lose at home against Nebraska.

Purdue is estimated to score 19.5 points at home. Purdue is expected to throw for 1.6 touchdowns with 44.1 pass attempts with 27.7 competitions for 314.1 yards, and an estimated 0.7 interceptions. The model estimates Purdue will run on 28.2 attempts against Nebraska with an estimated total of 98.9 yards and 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

Nebraska is predicted to score 27.0 points against their opponent. Nebraska is forecast to pass for 1.6 touchdowns on 32.7 pass attempts with 20.3 competitions for 274.8 yards, and a predicted 1.3 interceptions. The model predicts Nebraska will rush on 48.3 attempts against Purdue with an estimated total of 236.8 yards and 1.4 running touchdowns.

An estimated 62.4% likelihood to beat a -2.0 point spread, the best value is on Nebraska in their matchup against Purdue. Based on the prediction model's over 55.5% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 54.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 29, 2019 13:00:42 UTC