The Home Purdue's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Maryland

Tue, Oct 8, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

 Tweet 

2019-10-12 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, Purdue is predicted with a 57.9% to lose at home against Maryland.

Purdue has an average of 20.8 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts Purdue will pass for 1.9 touchdowns and 1.2 interceptions against the Maryland defense on a projected 28.0 competitions with 47.1 attempts for 365.0 passing yards. The model estimates Purdue will run on 25.6 attempts against Maryland with an estimated total of 61.5 yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns.

Maryland is estimated to score 24.3 points on the road. Our model forecasts Maryland will pass for 1.3 touchdowns and 1.4 interceptions against the Purdue defense on a forecasted 20.8 competitions with 38.9 attempts for 243.4 yards. Maryland is predicted to run for 211.1 yards on 39.3 attempts with an estimated 1.2 touchdowns.

Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for Maryland (-4.5) at Purdue game. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 59.7% over estimate and -110 line odds for 57.5 runs.

Posted at Tue, October 8, 2019 17:12:42 UTC