The Home Patriots's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Underdog Steelers

Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-09-08 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Steelers have a 48.6% chance to lose to the home town Patriots.

The Patriots have an average of 17.0 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates the Patriots will throw 23.4 competitions on 39.3 attempts against the Steelers with an estimated 2.1 interceptions for a total of 232.2 yards and 1.2 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts the Patriots will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Steelers defense on 25.9 attempts for a projected 120.3 yards.

The Steelers are estimated to score 16.3 points on the road. Our model forecasts Steelers will pass for 1.2 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions against the Patriots defense on a forecasted 23.4 competitions with 42.0 attempts for 233.5 yards. The model predicts the Steelers will rush on 20.6 attempts against the Patriots with an estimated total of 112.0 yards and 0.5 running touchdowns.

The Steelers are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 63.8% likelihood estimate to cover a +6.0 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 77.8% over estimate and -110 line odds for 51.5 runs.

Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 18:32:47 MST