The Home Patriots's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Underdog Browns

Sat, Oct 26, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-10-27 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Patriots have a 77.1% take a home loss against the Browns.

The Patriots have an average of 13.6 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates the Patriots will throw 25.7 competitions on 38.4 attempts against the Browns with an estimated 0.4 interceptions for a total of 257.6 yards and 1.2 passing touchdowns. The Patriots are predicted from the model to run for 0.2 touchdowns against Browns with 18.8 rush attempts for 40.9 yards.

The Browns are estimated to score 28.3 points on the road. The Browns are predicted from the model to throw for 276.6 yards on 47.1 attempts for 26.4 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.9 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Browns will rush for 0.9 touchdowns against the Patriots defense on 26.3 attempts for a projected 141.0 yards.

An estimated 93.9% likelihood to beat a +13.0 point spread, the best value is on the Browns in their matchup against the Patriots. With an over/under of 47.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 59.0% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, October 26, 2019 07:09:22 MST