The Home Panthers's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Underdog Bears

Wed, Oct 14, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-10-18 -- The Panthers under perform at home with a 60.8% chance to lose against the Bears based on our football model.

The Panthers are predicted to score 14.1 points on the home turf against Bears. The Snoozle football model estimates the Panthers will throw 20.4 competitions on 37.0 attempts against the Bears with an estimated 2.1 interception for a total of 191.3 yards and 0.9 passing touchdowns. The model estimates the Panthers will run on 27.0 attempts against the Bears with an estimated total of 124.4 yards and 0.6 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Bears have an average of 19.6 points for the game. Our model forecasts Bears will pass for 1.3 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions against the Panthers defense on a forecasted 27.6 competitions with 45.5 attempts for 252.5 yards. The Bears are predicted to run for 127.2 yards on 23.0 attempts with an estimated 0.8 touchdowns.

For this game, the Bears are the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 60.8% probability to beat the +2.5 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 55.4% over estimate and -110 line odds for 44.0 runs.

Posted at Wed, October 14, 2020 13:02:14 UTC