The Home New Mexico's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Hawaii

Tue, Oct 22, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-26 -- New Mexico under perform at home with a 60.0% chance to lose against Hawaii based on our football model.

At home, New Mexico is forecast to score 31.1 points. New Mexico is expected to throw for 1.6 touchdowns with 30.5 pass attempts with 13.3 competitions for 225.8 yards, and an estimated 1.2 interceptions. New Mexico is forecast to rush for 281.9 yards on 40.1 attempts with an estimated 2.0 rushing touchdowns.

Hawaii is predicted to score 37.1 points against their opponent. The Snoozle football model predicts Hawaii will throw 34.1 competitions on 55.0 attempts against New Mexico with a forecasted 0.8 interceptions for a total of 515.3 yards and 3.7 touchdowns. Hawaii is estimated from the model to rush for 1.0 touchdowns against New Mexico with 27.0 rush attempts for 134.8 yards.

With an estimated 56.2% likelihood to pass a +11.5 spread, the best value is on New Mexico over Hawaii against the spread. With an over/under of 70.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 69.5% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Tue, October 22, 2019 13:01:05 UTC