The Home New Mexico's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Air Force

Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-23 -- New Mexico under perform at home with a 81.9% chance to lose against Air Force based on our football model.

New Mexico is predicted to score 14.7 points on the home turf against Air Force. New Mexico is expected to throw for 0.8 touchdowns with 27.5 pass attempts with 14.0 competitions for 182.6 yards, and an estimated 0.3 interceptions. Our model forecasts New Mexico will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Air Force defense on 30.5 attempts for a projected 139.0 yards.

Air Force is predicted to score 30.6 points against their opponent. The Snoozle football model predicts Air Force will throw 7.2 competitions on 13.7 attempts against New Mexico with a forecasted 0.4 interceptions for a total of 158.1 yards and 1.1 touchdown. Air Force is predicted to run for 428.1 yards on 76.9 attempts with an estimated 2.5 touchdowns.

With an estimated 64.4% likelihood to pass a +22.0 spread, the best value is on New Mexico over Air Force against the spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 57.8% over estimate and -110 line odds for 57.0 runs.

Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC