The Home Miss St's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Alabama

Tue, Nov 12, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-16 -- Miss St under perform at home with a 89.2% chance to lose against Alabama based on our football model.

Miss St is predicted to score 17.3 points on the home turf against Alabama. Miss St is expected to throw for 0.8 touchdowns with 22.4 pass attempts with 12.3 competitions for 142.7 yards, and an estimated 0.9 interceptions. The model estimates Miss St will run on 31.5 attempts against Alabama with an estimated total of 177.9 yards and 1.0 rushing touchdowns.

Alabama is predicted to score 44.6 points against their opponent. The Snoozle football model predicts Alabama will throw 32.3 competitions on 44.7 attempts against Miss St with a forecasted 0.8 interceptions for a total of 532.3 yards and 4.2 touchdowns. Our model forecasts Alabama will rush for 1.4 touchdowns against the Miss St defense on 40.2 attempts for a projected 204.3 yards.

Alabama is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 64.8% likelihood estimate to cover a -21.0 point spread. With an over/under of 62.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 73.9% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Tue, November 12, 2019 13:00:40 UTC