The Home Marshall's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Cincinnati

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-28 -- Marshall change of losing to Cincinnati is 56.0% based on our model.

At home, Marshall is forecast to score 16.6 points. Marshall is estimated from the model to throw for 170.7 yards on 32.0 attempts for 16.6 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.8 touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions. Marshall is predicted from the model to run for 0.8 touchdowns against Cincinnati with 34.9 rush attempts for 180.2 yards.

Cincinnati is estimated to score 18.9 points on the road. Our model forecasts Cincinnati will pass for 1.0 touchdowns and 1.2 interceptions against the Marshall defense on a forecasted 17.1 competitions with 30.3 attempts for 218.3 yards. Cincinnati is predicted to run for 197.5 yards on 43.1 attempts with an estimated 1.0 touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 52.7% probability to cover a -3.0 spread, Cincinnati is the best value for the ATS bets. With a predicted 53.8% likelihood and -110 odds at 46.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC