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The Home Lions's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Colts

Sat, Oct 31, 2020 | Rob Otto

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2020-11-01 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Lions have a 56.6% take a home loss against the Colts.

At home, the Lions are forecast to score 14.2 points. The Snoozle football model estimates the Lions will throw 17.2 competitions on 28.3 attempts against the Colts with an estimated 1.9 interceptions for a total of 174.0 yards and 0.9 passing touchdowns. The model estimates the Lions will run on 31.7 attempts against the Colts with an estimated total of 119.4 yards and 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

On the road, the Colts are forecast to score 17.6 points against Lions. The Snoozle football model predicts Colts will throw 20.7 competitions on 34.4 attempts against the Lions with a forecasted 0.4 interceptions for a total of 251.4 yards and 1.4 touchdowns. The Colts are predicted to run for 116.5 yards on 29.3 attempts with an estimated 0.5 touchdowns.

The Colts are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 53.4% likelihood estimate to cover a -3.0 point spread. The over/under line of 50.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 79.9% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Sat, October 31, 2020 13:09:24 UTC