The Home Kentucky's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Tennessee

Tue, Nov 5, 2019 | Consuelo Machina

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2019-11-09 -- Kentucky has a 68.2% likelihood to fall to Tennessee with a based on our model.

Kentucky has an average of 14.2 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates Kentucky will throw 12.4 competitions on 25.0 attempts against Tennessee with an estimated 0.6 interceptions for a total of 129.1 yards and 0.5 passing touchdowns. Kentucky is predicted from the model to run for 0.9 touchdowns against Tennessee with 37.9 rush attempts for 193.7 yards.

On the road, Tennessee is forecast to score 21.5 points against Kentucky. Tennessee is predicted from the model to throw for 232.0 yards on 33.1 attempts for 17.9 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions. Tennessee is estimated from the model to rush for 1.0 touchdowns against Kentucky with 40.7 rush attempts for 207.1 yards.

Based on a predicted 68.2% probability to cover a -1.0 spread, Tennessee is the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 41.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 62.6% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Tue, November 5, 2019 13:00:53 UTC