The Home Kansas's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Baylor

Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-30 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, Kansas is predicted with a 89.2% to lose at home against Baylor.

Kansas is predicted to score 15.7 points on the home turf against Baylor. Kansas is estimated from the model to throw for 193.1 yards on 32.7 attempts for 19.2 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.9 touchdowns and 0.1 interception. Kansas is predicted from the model to run for 0.7 touchdowns against Baylor with 27.6 rush attempts for 151.3 yards.

Based on the montecarlo model, Baylor has an average of 37.4 points for the game. Baylor is forecast to pass for 2.8 touchdowns on 47.7 pass attempts with 31.5 competitions for 417.0 yards, and a predicted 0.7 interceptions. Baylor is predicted to run for 254.7 yards on 44.0 attempts with an estimated 1.6 touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 68.5% probability to cover a -14.0 spread, Baylor is the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the prediction model's over 74.9% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 53.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC