The Home Jets's Defense is Likely to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Underdog Dolphins

Thu, Dec 5, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-08 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Jets are predicted with a 69.7% to lose at home against the Dolphins.

In their hometown, the Jets are forecast to score 9.8 points. The Snoozle football model estimates the Jets will throw 19.9 competitions on 36.7 attempts against the Dolphins with an estimated 0.2 interceptions for a total of 184.0 yards and 0.6 passing touchdowns. The Jets are forecast to rush for 81.5 yards on 22.9 attempts with an estimated 0.3 rushing touchdowns.

The Snoozle model forecast the Dolphins to score 18.2 points on the road. The Dolphins are forecast to pass for 1.3 touchdowns on 45.7 pass attempts with 27.3 competitions for 276.5 yards, and a predicted 1.8 interceptions. The model predicts the Dolphins will rush on 26.8 attempts against the Jets with an estimated total of 100.3 yards and 0.5 running touchdowns.

For this game, the Dolphins are the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 69.7% probability to beat the +5.5 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 73.0% over estimate and -110 line odds for 44.0 runs.

Posted at Thu, December 5, 2019 13:02:15 UTC