The Home Jaguars's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Texans

Sat, Nov 7, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-11-08 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Jaguars have a 67.1% take a home loss against the Texans.

The Jaguars are predicted to score 17.1 points on the home turf against Texans. Our model forecasts the Jaguars will pass for 1.2 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions against the Texans defense on a projected 23.1 competitions with 37.3 attempts for 243.5 passing yards. The Jaguars are forecast to rush for 129.4 yards on 24.9 attempts with an estimated 0.7 rushing touchdowns.

The Snoozle model forecast the Texans to score 26.0 points on the road. The Texans are predicted from the model to throw for 316.0 yards on 41.1 attempts for 26.2 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 2.0 touchdowns and 2.0 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Texans will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the Jaguars defense on 29.6 attempts for a projected 152.6 yards.

For this game, the Texans are the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 67.1% probability to beat the -7.0 point spread. With an over/under of 51.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 54.8% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, November 7, 2020 13:04:06 UTC