The Home Jaguars's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Steelers

Sat, Nov 21, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-11-22 -- On the road, the Steelers has a 49.0% chance to lose to the Jaguars from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

At home, the Jaguars are forecast to score 17.4 points. Our model forecasts the Jaguars will pass for 1.2 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions against the Steelers defense on a projected 26.7 competitions with 42.5 attempts for 246.6 passing yards. The Jaguars are forecast to rush for 114.6 yards on 27.0 attempts with an estimated 0.6 rushing touchdowns.

The Steelers are estimated to score 16.8 points on the road. Our model forecasts Steelers will pass for 1.1 touchdown and 0.3 interceptions against the Jaguars defense on a forecasted 22.6 competitions with 41.7 attempts for 245.0 yards. The model predicts the Steelers will rush on 24.8 attempts against the Jaguars with an estimated total of 131.3 yards and 0.7 running touchdowns.

The Jaguars are the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 73.7% estimated to cover a +10.5 spread. With a predicted 58.6% likelihood and -110 odds at 46.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Sat, November 21, 2020 13:04:33 UTC