The Home Jaguars's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Chargers

Thu, Dec 5, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-08 -- The Jaguars change of losing to the Chargers is 58.4% based on our model.

The Jaguars are predicted to score 15.8 points on the home turf against Chargers. The Jaguars are expected to throw for 1.1 touchdown with 38.5 pass attempts with 22.3 competitions for 252.5 yards, and an estimated 2.0 interceptions. The Jaguars are forecast to rush for 93.2 yards on 22.0 attempts with an estimated 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Chargers have an average of 19.4 points for the game. The Chargers are predicted from the model to throw for 253.3 yards on 42.4 attempts for 26.2 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.4 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions. The Chargers are predicted to run for 134.0 yards on 25.7 attempts with an estimated 0.7 touchdowns.

An estimated 54.6% likelihood to beat a -3.0 point spread, the best value is on the Chargers in their matchup against the Jaguars. With an over/under of 43.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 53.4% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, December 5, 2019 13:02:15 UTC