The Home Iowa State's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Oklahoma

Sat, Dec 19, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-12-19 -- Iowa State has a 99.5% likelihood to fall to Oklahoma with a based on our model.

At home, Iowa State is forecast to score 4.6 points. Our model forecasts Iowa State will pass for 0.0 touchdowns and 3.8 interceptions against the Oklahoma defense on a projected 0.5 competitions with 32.6 attempts for 5.8 passing yards. Iowa State is forecast to rush for 109.4 yards on 26.0 attempts with an estimated 0.1 rushing touchdown.

Based on the montecarlo model, Oklahoma has an average of 36.0 points for the game. Oklahoma is predicted from the model to throw for 456.9 yards on 52.2 attempts for 39.4 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 2.8 touchdowns and 0.0 interceptions. The model predicts Oklahoma will rush on 51.8 attempts against Iowa State with an estimated total of 222.8 yards and 1.3 running touchdowns.

An estimated 98.6% likelihood to beat a -6.0 point spread, the best value is on Oklahoma in their matchup against Iowa State. With a predicted 75.7% likelihood and -110 odds at 58.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Sat, December 19, 2020 13:00:49 UTC