The Home Favorite Saints's Offense is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Texans

Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-09-09 -- The Saints have a 56.9% likelihood to fall to the Texans with a based on our model.

The Saints have an average of 15.9 points in our model for the game. The Saints are estimated from the model to throw for 266.7 yards on 39.4 attempts for 24.0 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions. The Saints are predicted from the model to run for 0.4 touchdowns against Texans with 23.3 rush attempts for 81.1 yards.

On the road, the Texans are forecast to score 19.4 points against Saints. The Snoozle football model predicts Texans will throw 25.8 competitions on 41.2 attempts against the Saints with a forecasted 1.8 interceptions for a total of 287.8 yards and 1.5 touchdowns. The model predicts the Texans will rush on 27.2 attempts against the Saints with an estimated total of 112.6 yards and 0.6 running touchdowns.

The Texans are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 75.7% likelihood estimate to cover a +7.0 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 76.5% over estimate and -110 line odds for 53.5 runs.

Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 18:32:47 MST