The Home Favorite Saints's Offense is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Chargers

Tue, Oct 13, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-10-13 -- The Saints change of losing to the Chargers is 78.7% based on our model.

In their hometown, the Saints are forecast to score 16.5 points. The Saints are estimated from the model to throw for 236.5 yards on 38.1 attempts for 25.6 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.2 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions. The model estimates the Saints will run on 25.2 attempts against the Chargers with an estimated total of 117.6 yards and 0.5 rushing touchdowns.

The Snoozle model forecast the Chargers to score 36.1 points on the road. The Chargers are forecast to pass for 3.0 touchdowns on 47.9 pass attempts with 30.3 competitions for 374.8 yards, and a predicted 0.2 interceptions. Our model forecasts the Chargers will rush for 1.1 touchdown against the Saints defense on 31.8 attempts for a projected 142.6 yards.

An estimated 88.6% likelihood to beat a +7.0 point spread, the best value is on the Chargers in their matchup against the Saints. According to prediction model the 75.2% over estimate and -110 line odds for 50.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 13, 2020 13:02:08 UTC