The Home Favorite Colts's Offense is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Bengals

Wed, Oct 14, 2020 | Rob Otto


2020-10-18 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo model, the Colts are predicted with a 83.1% to lose at home against the Bengals.

The Colts have an average of 11.2 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates the Colts will throw 16.1 competitions on 27.8 attempts against the Bengals with an estimated 0.6 interceptions for a total of 143.3 yards and 0.6 passing touchdowns. The Colts are predicted from the model to run for 0.5 touchdowns against Bengals with 29.5 rush attempts for 152.3 yards.

The Bengals are estimated to score 30.0 points on the road. The Bengals are predicted from the model to throw for 303.9 yards on 44.5 attempts for 29.6 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 2.1 touchdown and 1.6 interceptions. The Bengals are estimated from the model to rush for 1.2 touchdowns against Colts with 30.5 rush attempts for 164.1 yards.

An estimated 92.2% likelihood to beat a +7.5 point spread, the best value is on the Bengals in their matchup against the Colts. With an over/under of 46.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 62.1% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Wed, October 14, 2020 13:02:14 UTC