The Home Favorite Buccaneers's Offense is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Cardinals

Thu, Nov 7, 2019 | Rob Otto

 Tweet 

2019-11-10 -- The Buccaneers under perform at home with a 55.6% chance to lose against the Cardinals based on our football model.

The Buccaneers have an average of 17.4 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts the Buccaneers will pass for 1.4 touchdowns and 0.1 interception against the Cardinals defense on a projected 22.5 competitions with 39.9 attempts for 264.4 passing yards. Our model forecasts the Buccaneers will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Cardinals defense on 22.9 attempts for a projected 114.4 yards.

The Cardinals are predicted to score 20.2 points against their opponent. The Snoozle football model predicts Cardinals will throw 25.7 competitions on 40.6 attempts against the Buccaneers with a forecasted 1.9 interceptions for a total of 247.2 yards and 1.2 touchdowns. Our model forecasts the Cardinals will rush for 0.9 touchdowns against the Buccaneers defense on 29.0 attempts for a projected 146.3 yards.

The Cardinals are the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 67.1% likelihood estimate to cover a +4.0 point spread. The over/under line of 52.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 64.6% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Thu, November 7, 2019 13:05:09 UTC