The Home Favorite 49ers's Offense is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Rams

Thu, Dec 19, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-12-22 -- The 49ers change of losing to the Rams is 59.4% based on our model.

The 49ers are estimated to score 16.2 points at home. The Snoozle football model estimates the 49ers will throw 22.5 competitions on 38.4 attempts against the Rams with an estimated 0.1 interception for a total of 215.9 yards and 0.9 passing touchdowns. The 49ers are forecast to rush for 139.2 yards on 26.5 attempts with an estimated 0.7 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the montecarlo model, the Rams have an average of 21.1 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts Rams will throw 26.1 competitions on 41.8 attempts against the 49ers with a forecasted 1.7 interceptions for a total of 276.9 yards and 1.5 touchdowns. The Rams are predicted to run for 141.0 yards on 31.1 attempts with an estimated 0.8 touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 75.1% probability to cover a +6.5 spread, the Rams are the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 45.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 55.8% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, December 19, 2019 13:03:38 UTC