The Home Falcons's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over the Saints

Thu, Nov 28, 2019 | Rob Otto


2019-11-28 -- Based on the Snoozle prediction model, the Falcons have a 71.6% take a home loss against the Saints.

At home, the Falcons are forecast to score 15.1 points. The Falcons are expected to throw for 1.2 touchdowns with 41.4 pass attempts with 26.7 competitions for 274.2 yards, and an estimated 0.2 interceptions. The Falcons are predicted from the model to run for 0.3 touchdowns against Saints with 21.6 rush attempts for 61.1 yards.

On the road, the Saints are forecast to score 26.9 points against Falcons. The Saints are forecast to pass for 2.4 touchdowns on 50.4 pass attempts with 36.9 competitions for 365.0 yards, and a predicted 0.1 interception. The Saints are predicted to run for 108.9 yards on 25.6 attempts with an estimated 0.7 touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 63.2% probability to cover a -7.0 spread, the Saints are the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 49.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 56.9% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, November 28, 2019 10:48:01 MST